Tuesday, May 5, 2015

[LIVE] Severe Weather Blog

Today's Headlines:

Tropical Depression Bill Moves into Missouri and Arkansas!

Right Now:


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ACTIVE WEATHER ALERTS FOR LOWER 48 BELOW
Colors For Warnings
Tornado Warnings, Severe Thunderstorm Warnings, Flash Flood Warnings, Flood Warnings  ETC

Colors for Watches
Flash Flood Watch, Severe Thunderstorm Watch, Tornado Watch ETC
NWS Watch, Warning, Advisory Map

Current Outlooks:
S.P.C. Day 1 Outlooks ; This includes Tornado, Wind and Hail Outlooks below! Day 2-3 Outlooks have no Tornado, Hail or Wind Outlooks.
Tornado Probability Outlook: 2% low 10% Moderate 30% High 60% Historic Tornado Outbreak. Sig or Significant means anywhere in the Significant(a layer that looks like black rain) has an Enhanced Chance of having EF-2+(Large Violent Tornadoes) Tornadoes.
Severe Wind Probability Outlook ; 5% is Low 30% is Moderate 45% is High and 60% is Possible Derecho. Sig or Significant means Anywhere in the Significant(a layer that looks like Black Rain) has an Enhanced Chance of having 75+ MPH Wind Gusts.
Severe Hail Probability Outlook ; 5% Low 30% Moderate 45% High 60% Major Hail Event. Sig or Significant means that anywhere in the Significant(a layer that looks like black rain) has an Enhanced Chance of having 2"+ Hail.
S.P.C. Day 2 Outlook ; May be a more Significant Severe Weather Day

S.P.C. Day 3 Outlook ; May be an Enhanced when the day comes.
Categories(These are my Definitions ONLY!)

No Severe Weather Outbreak

TSTM: Some Isolated Strong Thunderstorms. .75" Hail and 30-50 MPH Wind Gusts are Main Hazards

Unlikely Severe Weather Outbreak(Enhanced is Possible):

Marginal: A Couple Severe Storms Possible. 1" Hail, 60 MPH Wind Gusts are Main Hazards
   Slight: Severe Storms Likely with a Possible WW. 1-2" Hail, 60-70 MPH Wind Gusts and a Possible Tornado are Main Hazards
Enhanced: Many Severe Storms Likely with a Likely WW. 1-3" Hail, 65-80 MPH Wind Gusts and a Tornado or Two are Main Hazards

Likely Severe Weather Outbreaks:

Moderate: Severe Weather Outbreak Likely with a WW. 1-4" Hail, 65-90 MPH Wind Gusts and a Possible Tornado Outbreak are Main Hazards
High: Major Severe Weather Outbreak Likely with Many WWs. 1-4.5" Hail, 65-100 MPH Wind Gusts and a Tornado Outbreak are Main Hazards

S.P.C. Watches

Standard Watches:
Tornado Watch: 1-3 Tornadoes 1.5" Hail and 70 MPH Wind Gusts
Severe Thunderstorm Watch: >1 Tornadoes 1.5" Hail and 70 MPH Wind Gusts

PDS Watches:
PDS Tornado Watch: 3-20 Tornadoes 1-5 Strong(EF-2+) Tornadoes 3"+ Hail and 90 MPH Wind Gusts
PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watch: 90 MPH Wind Gusts, 2" Hail and 1-2 Tornadoes.

CURRENT WATCHES FROM S.P.C.
Valid WW Image
CURRENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS(MD) FROM S.P.C.
Valid MD Image
All Information is from spc.noaa.gov/ noaa.gov/ weather.gov/ *EXCLUDING MY DESCRIPTIONS*